How to explain the Doha collapse to a kid ... (of course with much, much, much simplification)
- OK, so you want a big, sport jeep...
- That SUV needs lots of gasoline
- Fossil fuel are running out, substitutes are needed
- Governments encourage biofuel and biodiesels production
- Big subsidies on biofuel/biodiesel
- Less incentive for farmers to plant corn for food, more incentive to plant corn for biofuel
- Less incentive for farmers to produce palm oil for cooking, more to produce it for biodiesel
- Massive acreage switch from corn-for-food to corn-for-biofuel
- Likewise in palm oil production
- Massive migration from producing wheat to producing corn for ... biofuel
- Less quantity of wheat and corn-for-food and palm-oil-for-cooking-oil in the world market
- Soaring prices of those wheat, corn, palm oil
- India, the wheat eaters, panicked
- India banned its rice export to induce consumption switching from wheat to rice
- Vietnam thought it should also ban its rice export following India
- Philippines had a bad luck: from rice exporter now is a rice importer
- Philippines put high tender on rice
- World rice price surged due to (14),(15),(16), and (17) above
- China grew faster, needs more energy (and so start again from (1) above)
- Developing countries are much worried then ever with food security
- Bring the concern in (20) to Geneva
- US and EU are still stubborn with their farm subsidy (see also (5))
- Doha collapses .... (i.e (21) vs (22))
- Countries lose hope on multilateral trade agreements
- Back to regional and bilateral negotiations
- Spaghetti bowl effects are coming
- Protections are on the rise again
- Less gains from trade
- ... (this is where the kid can't take it anymore. Treat him/her with a good dose of ice cream)
6 comments:
Wah, koq seperti penjelasan waktu seminar Perempuan dan Kemiskinan Kalyanamitra, so you think the audience in that seminar are kids?
i didn't talk about doha at that time, did i?
oh, also, i don't prepare nice, rigorous power point presentation to kids (like i otherwise did in that seminar). so don't get offended.
Yeah, but some part of your explanation in this posting pretty similar with your explanation in that seminar.
are you a kid?
Congratulation,
As long as I can understand, I don't care it is for kid or not,
It is damn easy to understand.
and get ice cream... hahaha
from different anonymous than above :-)
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